A map has revealed how the coronavirus outbreak has rapidly spread across the world since the first cases cropped up in December.
Cases have now reached more than 235,000 across at least 172 countries or territories, originating from a small cluster in Wuhan city, Hubei, China.
Within three months, the never-seen-before coronavirus strain has spread at an alarming rate and reached every corner of the globe.
More than 9,200 people have died of the virus, for which there is currently no vaccine or cure. Some 85,000 are reported to have recovered.
The graphic, created by Reuters, collects data from official sources including The World Health Organization and John Hopkins University.
MailOnline first reported on COVID-19 on January 6 – Chinese officials reported a mysterious outbreak of pneumonia that had infected a few dozen people
World Health Organisation chiefs declared a public health emergency on January 30, when there were more than 10,000 cases
In February, the virus took hold in Europe. In the past four weeks alone, cases in Europe have increased more than 100-fold from 816 to 95,600. More than 4,300 have died
Cases have now reached more than 235,000 across at least 172 countries or territories
COVID-19 is the name given to the disease caused by the coronavirus strain, which can cause mild respiratory symptoms and can leave some hospitalised and battling to survive.
MailOnline first reported on COVID-19 on January 6 when Chinese officials reported a mysterious outbreak of pneumonia that had infected a few dozen people and left seven critically ill.
Scientists ruled out the very similar coronavirus, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), as being the cause of illness, which was a relief at the time because SARS killed 774 people in a comparatively small outbreak in 2002/03.
The initial cases of COVID-19 were all traced back to a seafood market in Wuhan’s suburbs, which was closed on January 1.
The World Health Organization (WHO) said it was closely monitoring the situation and even told hospitals around the globe to prepare in the ‘possible’ event of the infection spreading.
WHERE ARE THE WORST CORONAVIRUS-HIT COUNTRIES IN EACH CONTINENT?
GLOBAL TOTAL: 235,166 cases and 9,774 deaths
After the first case was recorded outside of China in Thailand on January 13, the fear that the virus spreading across borders was sparked. Airports across Asia ramped up their surveillance.
Fourteen cities in China went into full-scale lockdown from January 25 to try and stop the spread of the virus, which at that point had killed fewer than 50 people and infected no more than 1,200.
As countries scrambled to rescue their citizens from China, cases around the world soared to 10,000 by the end of January.
However, more than 90 per cent of cases were still in China, and the world watched as pop-up hospitals were built within seven days and health workers on the frontline were quickly overloaded with work – a sign of what was to come elsewhere.
On January 31, WHO chiefs declared a global public health emergency as more territories in the Asia-pacific region began announcing cases, including Japan and South Korea.
Even the US had announced two confirmed cases, making it one of the first western societies to do so alongside Australia.
February saw a drastic turn in events – one of the most memorable being a crisis on-board a quarantined cruise ship in Japan – the Diamond Princess – which had 3,700 passengers and crew.
The British-registered cruise ship, with 74 Britons on board, became a coronavirus hotbed linked to 712 cases and eight deaths.
Italy, which reported its first two cases at the end of January, has seen a devastating rise in COVID-19 cases, despite being one of the first countries to cut off its borders with China. The country has reported more than 35,700 cases and almost 3,000 deaths.
The outbreak began in Northern Italy and coincided with schools half-term February holidays, contributing to cases rising across Europe – including Britain.
In the past four weeks alone, cases in Europe have increased more than 100-fold from 816 to 95,600. More than 4,300 have died.
The initial cases of COVID-19 were all traced back to a seafood market in Wuhan’s suburbs (pictured), which was closed on January 1.
Italy, Spain, Germany are battling the largest outbreaks outside of China, as well as Iran (pictured), which reports a high jump in cases every day. It currently has more than 18,400 cases and 1,280 victims
Italy, which reported its first two cases at the end of January, has seen a devastating rise in COVID-19 cases. Pictured, workers stand next to coffins and remains of the coronavirus victims, in Bergamo, Italy, 18 March 2020
A woman is taken on a stretcher by healthcare professionals into the United Memorial Medical Center after going through testing for COVID-19 Thursday, March 19, 2020, in Houston
It has now been recognised as the ‘new epicentre’ of the outbreak, accounting for around a third of all cases globally.
Italy, Spain, France and Germany are battling the largest outbreaks outside of China, as well as Iran, which reports a high jump in cases every day. It currently has more than 18,400 cases and 1,280 victims.
South Korea has also been badly affected, but has managed to curb cases in recent weeks, partly due to the enforcement of rigorous testing.
On the other hand, shambolic testing in the US meant swabs were only available to be used in all states from March 14.
The first death in the US occurred on February 29, which has now grown to 155. Cases are nearing 10,000.
Developments forced the WHO to label the crisis as a ‘pandemic’ on March 11. Two days later, the global death total surpassed 5,000.
An international drive to produce a vaccine to halt the epidemic is in force, but scientists admit it could take years.
Despite the future holding uncertainty, there are some positives – around 85,000 have recovered, and Wuhan authorities are now reporting zero new cases a day, proving the virus can be stopped.
WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS?
What is the coronavirus?
A coronavirus is a type of virus which can cause illness in animals and people. Viruses break into cells inside their host and use them to reproduce itself and disrupt the body’s normal functions. Coronaviruses are named after the Latin word ‘corona’, which means crown, because they are encased by a spiked shell which resembles a royal crown.
The coronavirus from Wuhan is one which has never been seen before this outbreak. It has been named SARS-CoV-2 by the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses. The name stands for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus 2.
Experts say the bug, which has killed around one in 50 patients since the outbreak began in December, is a ‘sister’ of the SARS illness which hit China in 2002, so has been named after it.
The disease that the virus causes has been named COVID-19, which stands for coronavirus disease 2019.
Dr Helena Maier, from the Pirbright Institute, said: ‘Coronaviruses are a family of viruses that infect a wide range of different species including humans, cattle, pigs, chickens, dogs, cats and wild animals.
‘Until this new coronavirus was identified, there were only six different coronaviruses known to infect humans. Four of these cause a mild common cold-type illness, but since 2002 there has been the emergence of two new coronaviruses that can infect humans and result in more severe disease (Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) coronaviruses).
‘Coronaviruses are known to be able to occasionally jump from one species to another and that is what happened in the case of SARS, MERS and the new coronavirus. The animal origin of the new coronavirus is not yet known.’
The first human cases were publicly reported from the Chinese city of Wuhan, where approximately 11million people live, after medics first started publicly reporting infections on December 31.
By January 8, 59 suspected cases had been reported and seven people were in critical condition. Tests were developed for the new virus and recorded cases started to surge.
The first person died that week and, by January 16, two were dead and 41 cases were confirmed. The next day, scientists predicted that 1,700 people had become infected, possibly up to 7,000.
Where does the virus come from?
According to scientists, the virus almost certainly came from bats. Coronaviruses in general tend to originate in animals – the similar SARS and MERS viruses are believed to have originated in civet cats and camels, respectively.
The first cases of COVID-19 came from people visiting or working in a live animal market in Wuhan, which has since been closed down for investigation.
Although the market is officially a seafood market, other dead and living animals were being sold there, including wolf cubs, salamanders, snakes, peacocks, porcupines and camel meat.
A study by the Wuhan Institute of Virology, published in February 2020 in the scientific journal Nature, found that the genetic make-up virus samples found in patients in China is 96 per cent identical to a coronavirus they found in bats.
However, there were not many bats at the market so scientists say it was likely there was an animal which acted as a middle-man, contracting it from a bat before then transmitting it to a human. It has not yet been confirmed what type of animal this was.
Dr Michael Skinner, a virologist at Imperial College London, was not involved with the research but said: ‘The discovery definitely places the origin of nCoV in bats in China.
‘We still do not know whether another species served as an intermediate host to amplify the virus, and possibly even to bring it to the market, nor what species that host might have been.’
So far the fatalities are quite low. Why are health experts so worried about it?
Experts say the international community is concerned about the virus because so little is known about it and it appears to be spreading quickly.
It is similar to SARS, which infected 8,000 people and killed nearly 800 in an outbreak in Asia in 2003, in that it is a type of coronavirus which infects humans’ lungs. It is less deadly than SARS, however, which killed around one in 10 people, compared to approximately one in 50 for COVID-19.
Another reason for concern is that nobody has any immunity to the virus because they’ve never encountered it before. This means it may be able to cause more damage than viruses we come across often, like the flu or common cold.
Speaking at a briefing in January, Oxford University professor, Dr Peter Horby, said: ‘Novel viruses can spread much faster through the population than viruses which circulate all the time because we have no immunity to them.
‘Most seasonal flu viruses have a case fatality rate of less than one in 1,000 people. Here we’re talking about a virus where we don’t understand fully the severity spectrum but it’s possible the case fatality rate could be as high as two per cent.’
If the death rate is truly two per cent, that means two out of every 100 patients who get it will die.
‘My feeling is it’s lower,’ Dr Horby added. ‘We’re probably missing this iceberg of milder cases. But that’s the current circumstance we’re in.
‘Two per cent case fatality rate is comparable to the Spanish Flu pandemic in 1918 so it is a significant concern globally.’
How does the virus spread?
The illness can spread between people just through coughs and sneezes, making it an extremely contagious infection. And it may also spread even before someone has symptoms.
It is believed to travel in the saliva and even through water in the eyes, therefore close contact, kissing, and sharing cutlery or utensils are all risky. It can also live on surfaces, such as plastic and steel, for up to 72 hours, meaning people can catch it by touching contaminated surfaces.
Originally, people were thought to be catching it from a live animal market in Wuhan city. But cases soon began to emerge in people who had never been there, which forced medics to realise it was spreading from person to person.
What does the virus do to you? What are the symptoms?
Once someone has caught the COVID-19 virus it may take between two and 14 days, or even longer, for them to show any symptoms – but they may still be contagious during this time.
If and when they do become ill, typical signs include a runny nose, a cough, sore throat and a fever (high temperature). The vast majority of patients will recover from these without any issues, and many will need no medical help at all.
In a small group of patients, who seem mainly to be the elderly or those with long-term illnesses, it can lead to pneumonia. Pneumonia is an infection in which the insides of the lungs swell up and fill with fluid. It makes it increasingly difficult to breathe and, if left untreated, can be fatal and suffocate people.
Figures are showing that young children do not seem to be particularly badly affected by the virus, which they say is peculiar considering their susceptibility to flu, but it is not clear why.
What have genetic tests revealed about the virus?
Scientists in China have recorded the genetic sequences of around 19 strains of the virus and released them to experts working around the world.
This allows others to study them, develop tests and potentially look into treating the illness they cause.
Examinations have revealed the coronavirus did not change much – changing is known as mutating – much during the early stages of its spread.
However, the director-general of China’s Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Gao Fu, said the virus was mutating and adapting as it spread through people.
This means efforts to study the virus and to potentially control it may be made extra difficult because the virus might look different every time scientists analyse it.
More study may be able to reveal whether the virus first infected a small number of people then change and spread from them, or whether there were various versions of the virus coming from animals which have developed separately.
How dangerous is the virus?
The virus has a death rate of around two per cent. This is a similar death rate to the Spanish Flu outbreak which, in 1918, went on to kill around 50million people.
Experts have been conflicted since the beginning of the outbreak about whether the true number of people who are infected is significantly higher than the official numbers of recorded cases. Some people are expected to have such mild symptoms that they never even realise they are ill unless they’re tested, so only the more serious cases get discovered, making the death toll seem higher than it really is.
However, an investigation into government surveillance in China said it had found no reason to believe this was true.
Dr Bruce Aylward, a World Health Organization official who went on a mission to China, said there was no evidence that figures were only showing the tip of the iceberg, and said recording appeared to be accurate, Stat News reported.
Can the virus be cured?
The COVID-19 virus cannot be cured and it is proving difficult to contain.
Antibiotics do not work against viruses, so they are out of the question. Antiviral drugs can work, but the process of understanding a virus then developing and producing drugs to treat it would take years and huge amounts of money.
No vaccine exists for the coronavirus yet and it’s not likely one will be developed in time to be of any use in this outbreak, for similar reasons to the above.
The National Institutes of Health in the US, and Baylor University in Waco, Texas, say they are working on a vaccine based on what they know about coronaviruses in general, using information from the SARS outbreak. But this may take a year or more to develop, according to Pharmaceutical Technology.
Currently, governments and health authorities are working to contain the virus and to care for patients who are sick and stop them infecting other people.
People who catch the illness are being quarantined in hospitals, where their symptoms can be treated and they will be away from the uninfected public.
And airports around the world are putting in place screening measures such as having doctors on-site, taking people’s temperatures to check for fevers and using thermal screening to spot those who might be ill (infection causes a raised temperature).
However, it can take weeks for symptoms to appear, so there is only a small likelihood that patients will be spotted up in an airport.
Is this outbreak an epidemic or a pandemic?
The outbreak was declared a pandemic on March 11. A pandemic is defined by the World Health Organization as the ‘worldwide spread of a new disease’.
Previously, the UN agency said most cases outside of Hubei had been ‘spillover’ from the epicentre, so the disease wasn’t actually spreading actively around the world.